Econo- and socio- physics based remarks on the economical growth of the\n World
Bibliographic record
Abstract
It has been shown that the long term evolution of the Gross Product of the\nWorld after World War II can be well portrayed by the exponential function with\nthe crossover at the year 1973, cinsiding with the Oil Crisis onset. For the\nthe Standard and Poor 500 index the single exponential behavior extends down to\nat least the mid of the nineteen century. It is notable that the detailed\nshort-term insight focused on the last quarter of century revealed the\nemergence of the power like dependence. However, such dependences can be\nintroduced only when taking into account the behavior at reference-baselines\nyears. The possible relationship to the growth/death evolution of\nmicroorganisms is also discussed. The report proposes the new discussion of the\npast and nowadays time of the global economy. It recalls econonophysics and\nsociophysics as disciplines within which the effective parameterization of\ntrends is possible. Finally, possible future trends are discussed.\n
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.006 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".