XAS: Automatic yet eXplainable Age and Sex determination by combining imprecise per-tooth predictions
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Chronological age and biological sex estimation are two key tasks in a variety of procedures, including human identification and migration control. Issues such as these have led to the development of both semiautomatic and automatic prediction models, but the former are expensive in terms of time and human resources, while the latter lack the interpretability required to be applicable in real-life scenarios. This paper therefore proposes a new, fully automatic methodology for the estimation of age and sex. This first applies a tooth detection by means of a modified CNN with the objective of extracting the oriented bounding boxes of each tooth. Then, it feeds the image features inside the tooth boxes into a second CNN module designed to produce per-tooth age and sex probability distributions. The method then adopts an uncertainty-aware policy to aggregate these estimated distributions. Our approach yielded a lower mean absolute error than any other previously described, at 0.97 years. The accuracy of the sex classification was 91.82%, confirming the suitability of the teeth for this purpose. The proposed model also allows analyses of age and sex estimations on every tooth, enabling experts to identify the most relevant for each task or population cohort or to detect potential developmental problems. In conclusion, the performance of the method in both age and sex predictions is excellent and has a high degree of interpretability, making it suitable for use in a wide range of application scenarios.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".