What Is the Risk of Postoperative Neurologic Symptoms After Regional Anesthesia in Upper Extremity Surgery? A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Randomized Trials
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The risk of neurologic symptoms after regional anesthesia in orthopaedic surgery is estimated to approach 3%, with long-term deficits affecting 2 to 4 per 10,000 patients. However, current estimates are derived from large retrospective or observational studies that are subject to important systemic biases. Therefore, to harness the highest quality data and overcome the challenge of small numbers of participants in individual randomized trials, we undertook this systematic review and meta-analysis of contemporary randomized trials. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: In this systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized trials we asked: (1) What is the aggregate pessimistic and optimistic risk of postoperative neurologic symptoms after regional anesthesia in upper extremity surgery? (2) What block locations have the highest and lowest risk of postoperative neurologic symptoms? (3) What is the timing of occurrence of postoperative neurologic symptoms (in days) after surgery? METHODS: We searched Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Web of Science, Scopus, and PubMed for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published between 2008 and 2019 that prospectively evaluated postoperative neurologic symptoms after peripheral nerve blocks in operative procedures. Based on the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation guidance for using the Risk of Bias in Non-Randomized Studies of Interventions tool, most trials registered a global rating of a low-to-intermediate risk of bias. A total of 12,532 participants in 143 trials were analyzed. Data were pooled and interpreted using two approaches to calculate the aggregate risk of postoperative neurologic symptoms: first according to the occurrence of each neurologic symptom, such that all reported symptoms were considered mutually exclusive (pessimistic estimate), and second according to the occurrence of any neurologic symptom for each participant, such that all reported symptoms were considered mutually inclusive (optimistic estimate). RESULTS: At any time postoperatively, the aggregate pessimistic and optimistic risks of postoperative neurologic symptoms were 7% (915 of 12,532 [95% CI 7% to 8%]) and 6% (775 of 12,532 [95% CI 6% to 7%]), respectively. Interscalene block was associated with the highest risk (13% [661 of 5101] [95% CI 12% to 14%]) and axillary block the lowest (3% [88 of 3026] [95% CI 2% to 4%]). Of all symptom occurrences, 73% (724 of 998) were reported between 0 and 7 days, 24% (243 of 998) between 7 and 90 days, and 3% (30 of 998) between 90 and 180 days. Among the 31 occurrences reported at 90 days or beyond, all involved sensory deficits and four involved motor deficits, three of which ultimately resolved. CONCLUSION: When assessed prospectively in randomized trials, the aggregate risk of postoperative neurologic symptoms associated with peripheral nerve block in upper extremity surgery was approximately 7%, which is greater than previous estimates described in large retrospective and observational trials. Most occurrences were reported within the first week and were associated with an interscalene block. Few occurrences were reported after 90 days, and they primarily involved sensory deficits. Although these findings cannot inform causation, they can help inform risk discussions and clinical decisions, as well as bolster our understanding of the evolution of postoperative neurologic symptoms after regional anesthesia in upper extremity surgery. Future prospective trials examining the risks of neurologic symptoms should aim to standardize descriptions of symptoms, timing of evaluation, classification of severity, and diagnostic methods. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level I, therapeutic study.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.107 | 0.032 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.026 | 0.011 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".