Normal approximations for the multivariate inverse Gaussian distribution and asymmetric kernel smoothing on $d$-dimensional half-spaces
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper introduces a novel density estimator supported on $d$-dimensional half-spaces. It stands out as the first asymmetric kernel density estimator for half-spaces in the literature. Using the multivariate inverse Gaussian (MIG) density from Minami (2003) as the kernel and incorporating locally adaptive parameters, the estimator achieves desirable boundary properties. To analyze its mean integrated squared error (MISE) and asymptotic normality, a local limit theorem and probability metric bounds are established between the MIG and the corresponding multivariate Gaussian distribution with the same mean vector and covariance matrix, which may also be of independent interest. Additionally, a new algorithm for generating MIG random vectors is developed, proving to be faster and more accurate than Minami's algorithm based on a Brownian first-hitting location representation. This algorithm is then used to discuss and compare optimal MISE and likelihood cross-validation bandwidths for the estimator in a simulation study under various target distributions. As an application, the MIG asymmetric kernel is used to smooth the posterior distribution of a generalized Pareto model fitted to large electromagnetic storms.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".