Strain on the ICU resources and patient outcomes in the COVID-19 pandemic
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has led to an unprecedented strain on the ICU resources. It is not known how the ICU resources employed in treating COVID-19 patients are related to inpatient characteristics, use of organ support or mortality. OBJECTIVES: To investigate how the use of ICU resources relate to use of organ support and mortality in COVID-19 patients. DESIGN: A national register-based cohort study. SETTING: All Swedish ICUs from March 2020 to November 2021. PATIENTS: All patients admitted to Swedish ICUs with a primary diagnosis of COVID-19 reported to the national Swedish Intensive Care Register (SIR). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Organ support (mechanical ventilation, noninvasive ventilation, high-flow oxygen therapy, prone positioning, surgical and percutaneous tracheostomy, central venous catheterisation, continuous renal replacement therapy and intermittent haemodialysis), discharge at night, re-admission, transfer and ICU and 30-day mortality. RESULTS: Seven thousand nine hundred and sixty-nine patients had a median age of 63 years, and 70% were men. Median daily census was 167% of habitual census, daily new admissions were 20% of habitual census and the median occupancy was 82%. Census and new admissions were associated with mechanical ventilation, OR 1.37 (95% CI 1.28 to 1.48) and OR 1.44 (95% CI 1.13 to 1.84), respectively, but negatively associated with noninvasive ventilation, OR 0.83 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.89) and OR 0.40 (95% CI 0.30 to 52) and high-flow oxygen therapy, OR 0.72 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.77) and OR 0.77 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.97). Occupancy above 90% of available beds was not associated with mechanical ventilation or noninvasive ventilation, but with high-flow oxygen therapy, OR 1.36 (95% CI 1.21 to 1.53). All measures of pressure on resources were associated with transfer to other hospitals, but none were associated with discharge at night, ICU mortality or 30-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Pressure on ICU resources was associated with more invasive respiratory support, indicating that during these times, ICU resources were reserved for sicker patients.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".