Model-form uncertainty quantification of Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes modeling of flows over a SD7003 airfoil
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) models are known to be inaccurate in complex flows, for instance, laminar-turbulent transition, and RANS uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential to estimate the uncertainty in their predictions. In this study, a recent physics-based UQ framework that introduces eigenvalue, eigenvector, and turbulence kinetic energy perturbations to the modeled Reynolds stress tensor has been used to estimate the uncertainty in the flow field. We introduce a regression-based marker function that focuses on the turbulence kinetic energy perturbation for the simulation of laminar-turbulent transitional flows over an Selig–Donovan 7003 airfoil. We observed a monotonic behavior of the magnitude of the predicted uncertainty bounds varying with the turbulence kinetic energy perturbation. Importantly, the predicted uncertainty bounds show a synergy behavior that dramatically increases the size of uncertainty bounds and can successfully encompass the reference data when the eigenvalue perturbations are augmented with the marker function.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it