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Record W4299715301 · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1208.2716

Prediction and Computer Model Calibration Using Outputs From\n Multi-fidelity Simulators

2012· preprint· en· W4299715301 on OpenAlexaff
Joslin Goh, Derek Bingham, James Paul Holloway, Michael Grosskopf, Carolyn Kuranz, Erica M. Rutter

Bibliographic record

VenuearXiv (Cornell University) · 2012
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicSimulation Techniques and Applications
Canadian institutionsSimon Fraser University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsFidelityComputer scienceCalibrationSensitivity (control systems)Process (computing)Field (mathematics)Physical systemSimple (philosophy)Bayesian probabilitySimulationArtificial intelligenceEngineeringProgramming languageMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Computer codes are widely used to describe physical processes in lieu of\nphysical observations. In some cases, more than one computer simulator, each\nwith different degrees of fidelity, can be used to explore the physical system.\nIn this work, we combine field observations and model runs from deterministic\nmulti-fidelity computer simulators to build a predictive model for the real\nprocess. The resulting model can be used to perform sensitivity analysis for\nthe system, solve inverse problems and make predictions. Our approach is\nBayesian and will be illustrated through a simple example, as well as a real\napplication in predictive science at the Center for Radiative Shock\nHydrodynamics at the University of Michigan.\n

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.522
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.404
GPT teacher head0.310
Teacher spread0.094 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2012
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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