Germline variation in inflammation-related pathways and risk of Barrett's oesophagus and oesophageal adenocarcinoma
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Esophageal adenocarcinoma (EA) incidence has risen sharply in Western countries over recent decades. Local and systemic inflammation, operating downstream of disease-associated exposures, is considered an important contributor to EA pathogenesis. Several risk factors have been identified for EA and its precursor, Barrett’s esophagus (BE), including symptomatic reflux, obesity, and smoking. The role of inherited genetic susceptibility remains an area of active investigation. To explore whether germline variation related to inflammatory processes influences susceptibility to BE/EA, we used data from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of 2,515 EA cases, 3,295 BE cases, and 3,207 controls. Our analysis included 7,863 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 449 genes assigned to five pathways: cyclooxygenase (COX), cytokine signaling, oxidative stress, human leukocyte antigen, and NFκB. A principal components-based analytic framework was employed to evaluate pathway-level and gene-level associations with disease risk. We identified a significant signal for the COX pathway in relation to BE risk (P=0.0059, FDR q=0.03), and in gene-level analyses found an association with MGST1 (microsomal glutathione-S-transferase 1; P=0.0005, q=0.005). Assessment of 36 MGST1 SNPs identified 14 variants associated with elevated BE risk (q<0.05). Of these, four were subsequently confirmed (P<5.5 × 10−5) in a meta-analysis encompassing an independent set of 1,851 BE cases and 3,496 controls. Three of these SNPs (rs3852575, rs73112090, rs4149204) were associated with similar elevations in EA risk. This study provides the most comprehensive evaluation of inflammation-related germline variation in relation to risk of BE/EA, and suggests that variants in MGST1 influence disease susceptibility.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it