Management of asymptomatic sporadic non-functioning pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms no larger than 2 cm: interim analysis of prospective ASPEN trial
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The incidence of non-functioning pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (NF-PanNENs) has increased recently1. Traditionally, surgery has been the treatment of choice for localized NF-PanNENs, although evidence has emerged that active surveillance could be advocated for most asymptomatic tumours no larger than 2 cm2–7. However, the practice of active surveillance varies considerably and, contrary to current recommendations8–10, many patients still undergo surgical resection11–13. Current evidence is limited by the retrospective design of studies and the small number of patients. The present study is the most extensive prospective investigation to date on small, asymptomatic NF-PanNENs. The aim was to define the optimal management of incidentally found, sporadic NF-PanNENs no larger than 2 cm. This was a prospective, non-randomized, international, multicentre, cohort study (NCT03084770). This report describes the results of the prespecified interim analysis. Overall, 41 centres have been included. The study protocol was published previously14 (Appendix S1). Briefly, CT or MRI was mandatory for all patients. The diagnosis must have been proven by a positive fine-needle aspiration (biopsy) (FNA(B)) or positive 68Ga-labelled DOTA PET. The treatment—active surveillance or surgical resection—was decided by the referring centre. Because current guidelines8–10 suggest surveillance for asymptomatic NF-PanNENs 2 cm or smaller in size, treating physicians were asked to indicate the reason for choosing surgery. An aggressive feature was defined by one or more of the following features: Ki-67 over 20 per cent, perineural invasion, microvascular invasion, nodal metastases, or distant metastases. The study flow diagram is shown in Fig. 1. After initial screening, all the patients had at least positive 68Ga-labelled DOTA PET and/or a positive FNA(B) for NF-PanNEN. Study flow chart NF-PanNEN, non-functioning pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasm. Table 1 summarizes demographics and clinical characteristics by the type of management. Younger age, larger tumour size, lower BMI, dilated main pancreatic duct (MPD), and enrolment of the patient in a surgical centre were associated more frequently with surgery. Global quality of life at diagnosis was similar in the two groups (Fig. S1). Overall, distant metastases were present in 4 patients (0.08 per cent), all of whom underwent surgery. On multivariable analysis, factors associated with surgery were: age 64 years or less (OR 2.5; P < 0.001), radiological size larger than 10 mm (OR 1.9; P = 0.030), MPD: over 3 mm (OR 3.4; P < 0.001), surgical centre (OR 2.0; P = 0.012), and Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale—anxiety score above 3 and no more than 6 (OR 2.0; P = 0.029) (Table S1). Indication for surgery was attributed to patient’s preference in 42 instances (45 per cent), centre’s preference in 37 (39 per cent), MPD dilatation in 11 (12 per cent), and distant metastases in 4 (4 per cent). Characteristics of patients in ASPEN study Values are n (%) unless otherwise indicated. *Maximum size on radiological imaging or endoscopic ultrasonography. †Evaluated for patients with positive fine-needle aspiration (biopsy) (FNA(B) specimen. ‡Categorized by tertiles of Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) distribution. ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; MPD, main pancreatic duct; CgA, chromogranin A; FDG, fluorodeoxyglucose. §Pearson χ2 test, except ¶Wilcoxon Mann–Whitney test and #t test. Characteristics of patients in ASPEN study Values are n (%) unless otherwise indicated. *Maximum size on radiological imaging or endoscopic ultrasonography. †Evaluated for patients with positive fine-needle aspiration (biopsy) (FNA(B) specimen. ‡Categorized by tertiles of Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) distribution. ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; MPD, main pancreatic duct; CgA, chromogranin A; FDG, fluorodeoxyglucose. §Pearson χ2 test, except ¶Wilcoxon Mann–Whitney test and #t test. Surgical outcomes are summarized in Table S2. Minimally invasive, either laparoscopic or robot-assisted, was the preferred approach in 55 per cent of patients. Severe complications (defined as those with a Clavien–Dindo grade15 of more than III) occurred in 13 per cent of patients whereas the mortality rate was zero. Final pathological examination characteristics are listed in Table S3. The choice of standard pancreatectomy over an atypical resection was justified by the need to perform an adequate lymphadenectomy in 52 patients (54 per cent) and the proximity of the nodule to the MPD in 23 (25 per cent). One or more aggressive histological features were observed in 19 patients (20 per cent). Of these 19 patients, 17 had a radiological tumour size larger than 10 mm. The remaining 2 patients with radiological tumour size less than 10 mm had a dilated MPD on preoperative imaging. In 5 of the 19 patients with aggressive features, the radiological MPD was larger than 3 mm. After a median follow-up of 25 (i.q.r. 16–35) months, all patients were alive apart from 3 who died from causes unrelated to NF-PanNENs. Only 1 patient in the surgical group, who had liver metastases at diagnosis, eventually developed liver recurrence. In the surveillance group, 9 patients (2 per cent) underwent surgery during follow-up. The reason for surgery was increasing tumour size in 4 patients, increased MPD dilatation in 3, and patient’s preference in 2. A non-operative strategy seems safe as only a negligible fraction of patients had an increase in tumour size and no patient developed distant metastases during follow-up. These results are consistent with the preliminary findings of a recent prospective study6, although the present series included a five-fold larger number of patients and compared the two types of management of asymptomatic small NF-PanNENs, leaving the therapeutic decision (surveillance versus surgery) to the treating centres. Other factors that contributed to the decision to resect a NF-PanNEN of 2 cm or smaller were younger age, tumour size over 1 cm, and the presence of MPD dilatation. Furthermore, patient’s preference was the main reason for choosing surgery in many instances. This attitude might be explained by patients’ anxiety and by the ongoing debate in the scientific community about the optimal management of these lesions. Moreover, the current guidelines8–10 suggest that surveillance is recommended, especially for older patients, and this may explain why young age was an important factor in deciding on a surgical approach more frequently. In the present experience, it was found that nearly 20 per cent of resected tumours had one or more aggressive features. Notably, nearly all the lesions that presented at least one aggressive feature were also larger than 1 cm. The optimal cut-off for considering NF-PanNENs as low-risk lesions is a matter of ongoing controversy. The European Neuroendocrine Tumor Society8 and National Comprehensive Cancer Network10 guidelines consider observation for lesions no larger than 2 cm. On the other hand, North American Neuroendocrine Tumor Society9 guidelines suggest that the treatment of asymptomatic NF-PanNENs between 1 and 2 cm in size should be individualized. The present findings seem to support these latter recommendations. The presence of MPD dilatation should be promptly recognized and always considered as a major sign of concern because of the strong correlation with aggressive features, as described previously16. Another possible role in predicting the biological behaviour of these small nodules may be played by novel promising biomarkers such as NETest17. Finally, another important result was the detection of synchronous liver metastases in four patients, which demonstrates a real, although rare, potential for distant spread also among NF-PanNENs of 2 cm or smaller. In conclusion, active surveillance is the preferred approach for sporadic, asymptomatic, NF-PanNENs no larger than 2 cm. An active surveillance strategy seems safe, but the measurable risk of distant metastases, as well as the presence of histological characteristics of aggressiveness in almost one-fifth of operated tumours, necessitates personalized management for lesions larger than 1 cm as well as for young patients and in the presence of measurable growth of the nodule. Moreover, surgery is always mandatory for small NF-PanNENs with a dilated MPD. According to the protocol, the study will be concluded 1 year after the enrolment of the last patient. Nevertheless, as these preliminary results showed only a very low rate of patients with tumour growth after a median follow-up of 2 years, longer follow-up is probably needed for definitive conclusions to be reached. This study was funded by European Neuroendocrine Tumor Society. The authors thank F. di Salvo (Division of Pancreatic Surgery, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy) for her contribution with acquisition and analysis of data; and the following people for their involvement in the acquisition of data: D. Horsch (Department of Gastroenterology/Endocrinology, Zentralklinik Bad Berka, Bad Berka, Germany), J. C. Percovich (Hospital Universitario Gregorio Maranon, Madrid, Spain), S. Jamdar (Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK), M. S. Khan (University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff and Vale University Health Board, Cardiff, UK), E. N. van Dijkum (Amsterdam Medical Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands), E. Martin Perez (University Hospital La Princesa, Madrid, Spain), and G. Donatini (Poitiers University Hospital, Poitiers, France). The authors declare no conflict of interest. Supplementary material is available at BJS online.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".