Development of a Clinically Applicable NanoString-Based Gene Expression Classifier for Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Molecular Stratification
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Transcriptional profiling of muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) using RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) technology has demonstrated the existence of intrinsic basal and luminal molecular subtypes that vary in their prognosis and response to therapy. However, routine use of RNA-seq in a clinical setting is restricted by cost and technical difficulties. Herein, we provide a single-sample NanoString-based seven-gene (KRT5, KRT6C, SERPINB13, UPK1A, UPK2, UPK3A and KRT20) MIBC molecular classifier that assigns a luminal and basal molecular subtype. The classifier was developed in a series of 138 chemotherapy naïve MIBCs split into training (70%) and testing (30%) datasets. Further, we validated the previously published CK5/6 and GATA3 immunohistochemical classifier which showed high concordance of 96.9% with the NanoString-based gene expression classifier. Immunohistochemistry-based molecular subtypes significantly correlated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) in univariable (p = 0.006 and p = 0.011, respectively) and multivariate cox regression analysis for DSS (p = 0.032). Used sequentially, the immunohistochemical- and NanoString-based classifiers provide faster turnaround time, lower cost per sample and simpler data analysis for ease of clinical implementation in routine diagnostics.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".