Validation of a Computational Phenotype to Identify Acute Brain Dysfunction in Pediatric Sepsis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To validate a computational phenotype that identifies acute brain dysfunction (ABD) based on clinician concern for neurologic or behavioral changes in pediatric sepsis. DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. SETTING: Single academic children's hospital. PATIENTS: Four thousand two hundred eighty-nine index sepsis episodes. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: An existing computational phenotype of ABD was optimized to include routinely collected variables indicative of clinician concern for acute neurologic or behavioral change (completion of CT or MRI, electroencephalogram, or new antipsychotic administration). First, the computational phenotype was compared with an ABD reference standard established from chart review of 527 random sepsis episodes to determine criterion validity. Next, the computational phenotype was compared with a separate validation cohort of 3,762 index sepsis episodes to determine content and construct validity. Criterion validity for the final phenotype had sensitivity 83% (95% CI, 76-89%), specificity 93% (90-95%), positive predictive value 84% (77-89%), and negative predictive value 93% (90-96%). In the validation cohort, the computational phenotype identified ABD in 35% (95% CI 33-36%). Content validity was demonstrated as those with the ABD computational phenotype were more likely to have characteristics of neurologic dysfunction and severe illness than those without the ABD phenotype, including nonreactive pupils (15% vs 1%; p < 0.001), Glasgow Coma Scale less than 5 (44% vs 12%; p < 0.001), greater than or equal to two nonneurologic organ dysfunctions (50% vs 25%; p < 0.001), and need for intensive care (81% vs 65%; p < 0.001). Construct validity was demonstrated by higher odds for mortality (odds ratio [OR], 6.9; 95% CI, 5.3-9.1) and discharge to rehabilitation (OR, 11.4; 95% CI 7.4-17.5) in patients with, versus without, the ABD computational phenotype. CONCLUSIONS: A computational phenotype of ABD indicative of clinician concern for new neurologic or behavioral change offers a valid retrospective measure to identify episodes of sepsis that involved ABD. This computational phenotype provides a feasible and efficient way to study risk factors for and outcomes from ABD using routinely collected clinical data.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.033 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".