Detection of Load-Altering Cyberattacks Targeting Peak Shaving Using Residential Electric Water Heaters
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The rapid adoption of the smart grid’s nascent load-management capabilities, such as demand-side management and smart home systems, and the emergence of new classes of controllable high-wattage loads, such as energy storage systems and electric vehicles, magnify the smart grid’s exposure to load-altering cyberattacks. These attacks aim at disrupting power grid services by staging a synchronized activation/deactivation of numerous customers’ high-wattage appliances. A proper defense plan is needed to respond to such attacks and maintain the stability of the grid, and would include prevention, detection, mitigation, incident response, and/or recovery strategies. In this paper, we propose a solution to detect load-altering cyberattacks using a time-delay neural network that monitors the grid’s load profile. As a case study, we consider a cyberattack scenario against demand-side management programs that control the loads of residential electrical water heaters in order to perform peak shaving. The proposed solution can be adapted to other load-altering attacks involving different demand-side management programs or other classes of loads. Experiments verify the proposed solution’s efficacy in detecting load-altering attacks with high precision and low false alarm and latency.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".