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Intelligent COVID Risk Aversion System

2022· article· en· W4308091050 on OpenAlexaffabout
Khalid Abdel Hafeez, Daniel Silva, Peter Levine, Brett Hausdorf, Ibrahim Noor Mohammed

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicSmart Systems and Machine Learning
Canadian institutionsOntario Tech University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Computer scienceRisk aversion (psychology)Risk analysis (engineering)BusinessEconomicsMedicineFinancial economicsExpected utility hypothesis

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The lack of an in-depth system for determining exposure to COVID-19 has left people with a need for an autonomous method of tracking/monitoring user habits and active COVID-19 cases. The COVID Risk Aversion System (CRS) was created to track users and how often they encounter these risks around them. This project currently uses Ontario as a testbed. The CRS system consists of two main components: an in-house server and user application. Using internal and external technologies, CRS logs how often users interact with other users who have the application and the locations they visit. A server was developed to store every location that each user encounters and then categorizes a quantified risk to that specific location based on multiple factors. Risk is determined by COVID-19 cases in the area, risk values of people at given locations, and regional per capita cases of COVID-19. The server alters area risk based on decreasing or increasing cases within a specific region. Every hour, the server checks Ontario’s COVID-19 statistics and updates the database’s values, and then recalculates the dynamic values for all locations stored in the system. The client-side application reports the user’s location every 5 minutes and requests information on all users geographically close to that person using Vincenty’s formula. Twice a day, the application updates the user’s risk based on the interactions the user has had throughout the day. Users can also view a map of Ontario that displays regional risk and can check the risk of specific locations. CRS aims to be an effective method at reducing the user’s exposure to COVID-19.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.033
Threshold uncertainty score0.076

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.006
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0030.003
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0230.013

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.010
GPT teacher head0.221
Teacher spread0.212 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2022
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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