Does a tax deduction scheme matter for jobs and investment by multinational and domestic enterprises?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Many countries have reduced corporate income tax rates or introduced tax deductions, exclusions and credits to attract foreign direct investment. This paper analyzes the introduction of the notional interest deduction (NID) in Belgium, which allows companies to deduct from their taxable income an interest that is calculated based on the company's equity. We use an event type study approach to analyze the evolution of employment and investment of foreign affiliates in Belgium. We find that the tax deduction has increased employment and investment in the Belgian affiliates on average by 7.4 and 6.1%, respectively, in the period after the introduction of the NID. The NID, however, also provides a higher after‐tax return on investment to domestic Belgian firms. Using a matching analysis, we find that domestic Belgian firms with low external financial dependence also respond to the NID but somewhat less strongly, domestic firms with high external financial dependence do not show NID‐driven investment nor employment creation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".