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Record W4308887929 · doi:10.1080/11926422.2022.2120508

Canada’s oil sands in a carbon-constrained world

2022· article· en· W4308887929 on OpenAlexaffabout
Andrew Leach

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Foreign Policy Journal · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnergy
TopicGlobal Energy and Sustainability Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Alberta
Fundersnot available
KeywordsOil sandsClimate changeNatural resource economicsContext (archaeology)CommitPetroleum industryPeak oilBusinessEnvironmental protectionEconomyEconomicsEnvironmental scienceGeographyEcologyEnvironmental engineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The oil sands have dominated Canada’s domestic energy conversations for most of the last 50 years. More recently, the resource has become an important factor in Canada’s foreign relations, in particular with respect to Canada’s commitments on climate change. Environmental concerns are not new to the oil sands, with endangered species impacts and tailings pond mitigation presenting pressing domestic concerns. This paper argues that climate change presents a unique challenge, even as prices for oil rise dramatically. Domestic action threatens to increase the cost of production and to erode cost-effective access to markets, and policy uncertainty has made investments more challenging. More importantly, global action will change the market for oil itself and shape the willingness of investors to commit to the oil sands. This paper examines the state of the oil sands industry in the context of Canadian and global commitments to action on climate change and the potential for a global energy transition. The paper concludes with a discussion of potential solutions and pitfalls for Canada’s oil sands in a carbon-constrained world.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.094
Threshold uncertainty score0.683

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0160.005
Scholarly communication0.0080.002
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0110.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.011
GPT teacher head0.240
Teacher spread0.229 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations6
Published2022
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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