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Improving Power Load Forecasting using FIS

2022· article· en· W4309640158 on OpenAlexaff
Maninder Singh, Indu Batra, Balbir Gill, Ajay K. Kakkar

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicEnergy Load and Power Forecasting
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsRenewable energyPaceComputer scienceWind powerElectricityElectric potential energyEnvironmental economicsElectrical loadAutomotive engineeringEnergy (signal processing)EngineeringElectrical engineeringEconomicsStatisticsMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Global energy demand is increasing at a rapid pace. At the same time traditional energy sources such as coal and petroleum are depleting at the same rate, renewable resources are expected to play an increasingly important role in the future. Recent research, advances, and strategies in wind, hydro, and solar energy systems have been covered in detail. The variable electrical output of renewable energy sources has been discovered to be a significant difficulty for the electricity system architecture. As a result, a strategic coordination based on the Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) is proposed to improve the total electrical infrastructure. By taking into account meteorological conditions and energy consumption, two fore casting intervals were used: a) extremely short term, 30 minutes, and b) short term, 60 minutes. It identifies classes for all 24 hours of the day for which load forecasting is required. For 30 and 60 minutes, the difference between actual and anticipated load is less than 3% and 5%, respectively.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.023
Threshold uncertainty score0.046

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.200
Teacher spread0.179 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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