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Record W4309812276 · doi:10.1149/ma2022-02281080mtgabs

State of Health Estimation and Remaining Useful Life Prediction Using Hybrid Kmeans CNN-Lstm Network

2022· article· en· W4309812276 on OpenAlexaff
Yassine Toughzaoui, Hicham Chaoui, Hasna Louahlia, Raffaele Petrone, Hamid Gualous

Bibliographic record

VenueECS Meeting Abstracts · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicAdvanced Battery Technologies Research
Canadian institutionsCarleton University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsComputer scienceArtificial neural networkArtificial intelligenceBattery (electricity)State of healthConvolutional neural networkKalman filterMachine learning

Abstract

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Lithium-ion batteries have become among the most used storage systems in different fields such as electric vehicles, lighting, robotics, etc. These storage systems are known for their fast charging and high energy density (they can store 3 or 4 times more energy per unit mass than other battery technologies). Lithium-ion batteries are being used in more and more areas; however, the major drawback of this system is its high price, and the degradation of its performance makes good maintenance necessary to optimize the battery operation. This good maintenance consists on the real-time follow-up of its state of health (SOH) and the prediction of its remaining useful life (RUL). For this purpose, there are two main categories of methods: model-based methods (such as the sliding mode, and the Kalman filter, etc.) and data-based methods (such as fuzzy logic, genetic programming and artificial intelligence algorithms, etc.). Many authors have based their studies on artificial intelligence models and more specifically artificial neural networks which are known for their high accuracy and their ability to solve complex problems that model based methods find difficulties to deal with. Among the most used neural networks, we find recurrent neural networks (RNN) and more specifically Long Short Term Memory (LSTM). LSTM networks have an internal memory allowing them to process time series flexibly and with high accuracy. These networks have shown good performance in SOH estimation and RUL prediction in several studies. Convolutional neural networks are networks originally dedicated to image processing, but recently several studies have proposed to use these networks for processing time series and have demonstrated good performance in this field. Some studies propose to combine different models for the estimation of the SOH and the prediction of the RUL, among these models, we find the CNN LSTM combination which improves the accuracy of the model and decreases its calculation time. This is the case for our study, where the CNN network was used for data filtering and the LSTM network for processing the filtered data. In addition to that, we added a K-means clustering network which is used to classify the data and makes their processing by the CNN LSTM hybrid model, easier and faster. The major drawback of neural network models is that they need a lot of data for their training. In our study, we used the NASA open source dataset which was extracted from an experiment consisting on charging and discharging LCO 18650 lithium ion batteries with randomly chosen currents between -4.5A and 4.5A to simulate the operation of a lithium battery in electric vehicle driving conditions. The dataset contains the data of 4 batteries, we used the data of 3 of them for training the model and we validated our model on the data of the 4th one. The following figure shows the estimation results of the state of health of the 4th battery obtained by our model. To evaluate the performance of our model, we used three metrics: Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). The performance evaluation demonstrated the improvement in the accuracy of the model and the computation time compared to each of the networks used separately. The following table summarizes the obtained results: Metric/ Model MSE RMSE MAE Hybrid model 0.0002 0.01 0.008 For the prediction of the RUL, we developed a model that predicts the evolution of the capacitance value. For its training, we used the same dataset. The model trains on a percentage of 90% of the data from each battery and its role is to predict the remaining capacitance values until the end of life of the battery is reached. The following figure shows the model results for the prediction of the 4th battery data Figure 1

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.011
Threshold uncertainty score0.651

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.030
GPT teacher head0.272
Teacher spread0.243 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations1
Published2022
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