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Record W4310053724 · doi:10.1111/rssa.12986

Artificial Intelligence and Causal Inference

2022· article· en· W4310053724 on OpenAlexaff
Stanley E. Lazic

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicBayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
Canadian institutionsPrioris.ai (Canada)
Fundersnot available
KeywordsArtificial intelligenceComputer scienceCounterfactual thinkingArtificial neural networkInferenceDeep learningCausal inferenceMachine learningCausal modelPsychologyMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This book presents a theoretical overview of recent developments at the interface between deep neural networks and causal inference (although the title mentions Artificial Intelligence, the methods discussed are exclusively neural networks). Chapters 1–4 introduce deep learning models, including variational autoencoders, generative adversarial networks and neural networks as Gaussian processes. Chapter 5 then discusses causal models, including Pearl’s do-calculus, mediation analysis, confounding, instrumental variables and how these can be integrated with neural networks. The remaining chapters discuss various topics that combine both deep neural networks and causal inference, such as reinforcement learning and counterfactual reasoning. Both deep learning and causal inference are fast-moving fields, and the author covers the latest topics and methods well. The book has a high ratio of equations to text, and even more technical material is contained in appendices at the end of each chapter. No worked examples with data are provided to illustrate how the methods should be implemented; however, at the end of each chapter links to software packages and code (primarily GitHub repositories) developed by others are provided. Although readers will gain a mathematical understanding of the latest methods, they will have to look elsewhere for examples of how to analyse and interpret the results.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.008
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.019
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.014
Threshold uncertainty score0.048

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0080.019
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.010
Scholarly communication0.0050.007
Open science0.0020.003
Research integrity0.0040.008
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0140.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.031
GPT teacher head0.283
Teacher spread0.251 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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