Correlation of Minimal Residual Disease (MRD) at the End of Induction (EOI) and Event Free Survival (EFS) in T-Cell Lymphoblastic Lymphoma (T-LL), a Report from the Children's Oncology Group (COG) Trial AALL1231
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Defining prognostic variables that correlate to EFS in T-LL remains a clinical challenge. Traditional variables such as stage or radiologic response to therapy have failed to correlate with EFS in recent trials. AALL1231 was a COG phase 3 clinical trial for newly diagnosed with T Acute Lymphoblastic leukemia (T-ALL) or T-LL patients that randomized children and young adults (age 1-30 years) to a modified augmented BFM (aBFM) backbone with no bortezomib (Arm A) or with bortezomib (Arm B) during induction and delayed intensification (DI) (1.3mg/m2 x 4 doses per block). T-LL patients were stratified as standard (SR), intermediate (IR), or very high risk (VHR), based upon minimal detectable disease (MDD) in the bone marrow at diagnosis, prior steroid pre-treatment and radiographic response at the end of induction. Bone marrow (BM) samples to assess MRD by flow cytometry at the EOI were an optional submission for T-LL participants and those collected were analyzed to assess its correlation to EFS. Results: AALL1231 accrued 209 T-LL patients from 2014 until closure in 2017. At the end of induction, 43.6% were in radiologic remission, 55.4% had a partial response and 1% had stable disease or no response. There were 86 (41%) patients for whom EOI samples for MRD assessment were submitted. Patients with MRD <0.1% (n=75) at EOI had a superior EFS versus those with MRD >0.1% (n= 11), (89.0 + 4.4% verses 63.6 + 17.2%, p= 0.025). Overall survival did not significantly differ between the two groups (88.9 + 4.4% versus 72.7 + 15.5% p= 0.15). As previously reported, Arm B demonstrated a superior outcome for both EFS and OS for the entire cohort. Within risk groups, IR and SR patients had similar EFS outcomes (Arm A 73.9 + 7.5% versus 80.4 + 6.7, Arm B 87.2 + 5.8 % versus 90.5 + 4.8%) with only two patients the VHR, both in Arm B. Cox regression for EFS using Arm A as a reference demonstrated that MRD EOI ≥0.1% was associated with a greater risk of inferior outcome (Hazard Ratio, HR = 3.73 (1.12-12.40, p = 0.032), (Table 1) which was independent of treatment arm assignment. OS failed to reach statistical significance for patients MRD EOI ≥0.1%, HR = 2.714 (0.72-10.44, p=0.14). Furthermore, Cox regression failed to demonstrate a superior EFS with decreasing MDD at diagnosis (>5% versus 1-5%, versus <1%), HR=2.67 (0.336-21.145, p=0.141, HR= 0.830 (0.255-2.699, HR= 0.57 (0.289-1.073, p= 0.080)(Table 2). Conclusions: In this pediatric T-LL trial, BM EOI MRD by flow cytometry was associated with improved EFS in in both arms (+/- bortezomib) in both univariate and multivariate analyses. In contrast, race, age, gender, risk group, MDD, stage and radiologic response to therapy were not prognostic. Consideration to incorporate MRD at EOI into the design of future trials will establish its value in defining risk groups for subsequent therapeutic trials. Figure 1View largeDownload PPTFigure 1View largeDownload PPT Close modal
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".