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Representative meteorological data for long-term wind-driven rain obtained from Latin Hypercube Sampling – Application to impact analysis of climate change

2022· article· en· W4310261168 on OpenAlexaffabout
John Bourcet, Aytaç Kubilay, Dominique Derome, J. Carmeliet

Bibliographic record

VenueBuilding and Environment · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicWind and Air Flow Studies
Canadian institutionsUniversité de Sherbrooke
FundersSchweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen ForschungNational Science Foundation
KeywordsLatin hypercube samplingEnvironmental scienceWind speedFacadeMeteorologySampling (signal processing)Climate changeIntensity (physics)ReplicateTerm (time)StatisticsMathematicsComputer scienceMonte Carlo methodGeographyGeology

Abstract

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Accurate estimation of wind-driven rain (WDR) load on building facades is of paramount importance for the assessment of moisture-induced damage risks. The response of the facade depends on the used meteorological data, which can show significant variation over time, especially considering climate change. In this study, a statistical approach based on a Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) is used to generate reduced samples, which accurately represent long-term meteorological conditions for WDR. Based on cumulative distribution functions, the generated samples with LHS are a subset of actual measured data, independent of the temporal information, and are clustered around values of highest frequency. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations of WDR are performed on a historical building located in Victoria, BC, Canada based on a previously validated methodology, determining the parts of facade receiving the highest WDR load. The sensitivity study shows that a sample size of 200 with LHS, corresponding to around 0.2% of the total measured data and 4.1% of the data during rainfall, is sufficient to replicate successfully the spatial distribution of WDR with a maximum discrepancy of 7%. The reduced samples can be easily modified to model various scenarios with respect to the climate change. The change in WDR load is presented for different scenarios in terms of rainfall intensity and wind speed as predicted by future climatic conditions. The results indicate that the future WDR load depends highly on the wind speed conditions, even when wind speed is kept constant and only rainfall intensity is varied.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.115
Threshold uncertainty score0.575

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.066
GPT teacher head0.323
Teacher spread0.257 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations35
Published2022
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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