Validation of Photovoltaic Spectral Effects Derived From Satellite-Based Solar Irradiance Products
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring (CM-SAF) Spectral Resolved Irradiance (SRI) and National Renewable Energy Laboratory National Solar Radiation Database Spectral on Demand (NSRDB-S) satellite-based spectral irradiance products are tested here against benchmark data and models at seven ground stations: one in Spain for CM-SAF SRI and six in North America for NSRDB-S. Benchmarks include WISER spectroradiometers, spectra modeled from SolarSIM-G measurements, the First Solar model of spectral mismatch factor (SMM), and the SMARTS radiative code with two alternate input sources: AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET) and the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis. The satellite products are tested in terms of their ability to estimate photovoltaic (PV) spectral effects for six PV module technologies. Spectra are also compared directly. CM-SAF SRI generally outperforms First Solar and “no spectral effects” benchmarks, except for cadmium telluride modules. For NSRDB-S, predictions of long-term spectral derate factors show less skill than for instantaneous SMMs. Spectra comparisons reveal systematic differences between NSRDB-S and benchmark spectra, likely due to the NSRDB-S treatment of aerosols. Meanwhile, the mean SMARTS spectra with AERONET and MERRA-2 inputs are in good agreement, showing promise for the use of MERRA-2 as input to clear-sky models.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".