Transferable exclusivity extensions to stimulate antibiotic research and development: what is at stake?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Getting new and innovative antibiotics to market is important to tackle growing antibiotic resistance.1 However, the pharmaceutical industry has been reluctant to invest in antibiotic research and development because of small sales volumes and low prices, resulting in poor returns on investment. For the 18 new antibiotics approved since 2010, the median annual sales in the first year following launch was USD $16 million;2 four antibiotic developers have filed for bankruptcy since April, 2019.3 It is often so financially risky to launch a new antibiotic that launches are restricted to commercially viable markets, such as the USA, the UK, and Sweden.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.041 | 0.152 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.005 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.011 | 0.019 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.010 |
| Research integrity | 0.010 | 0.007 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.064 | 0.012 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".