A sedimentary record of the evolution of the global marine phosphorus cycle
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Phosphorus (P) is typically considered to be the ultimate limiting nutrient for Earth's biosphere on geologic timescales. As P is monoisotopic, its sedimentary enrichment can provide some insights into how the marine P cycle has changed through time. A previous compilation of shale P enrichments argued for a significant change in P cycling during the Ediacaran Period (635-541 Ma). Here, using an updated P compilation-with more than twice the number of samples-we bolster the case that there was a significant transition in P cycling moving from the Precambrian into the Phanerozoic. However, our analysis suggests this state change may have occurred earlier than previously suggested. Specifically in the updated database, there is evidence for a transition ~35 million years before the onset of the Sturtian Snowball Earth glaciation in the Visingsö Group, potentially divorcing the climatic upheavals of the Neoproterozoic from changes in the Earth's P cycle. We attribute the transition in Earth's sedimentary P record to the onset of a more modern-like Earth system state characterized by less reducing marine conditions, higher marine P concentrations, and a greater predominance of eukaryotic organisms encompassing both primary producers and consumers. This view is consistent with organic biomarker evidence for a significant eukaryotic contribution to the preserved sedimentary organic matter in this succession and other contemporaneous Tonian marine sedimentary rocks. However, we stress that, even with an expanded dataset, we are likely far from pinpointing exactly when this transition occurred or whether Earth's history is characterized by a single or multiple transitions in the P cycle.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".