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Record W4311034063 · doi:10.1145/3550469.3555388

Marginal Multiple Importance Sampling

2022· article· en· W4311034063 on OpenAlexaff
Rex West, Iliyan Georgiev, Toshiya Hachisuka

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicBayesian Methods and Mixture Models
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEstimatorSampling (signal processing)Marginal distributionProbability density functionImportance samplingComputer scienceMathematicsConditional probability distributionAlgorithmMathematical optimizationApplied mathematicsStatisticsRandom variableMonte Carlo method

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Multiple importance sampling (MIS) is a powerful tool to combine different sampling techniques in a provably good manner. MIS requires that the techniques’ probability density functions (PDFs) are readily evaluable point-wise. However, this requirement may not be satisfied when (some of) those PDFs are marginals, i.e., integrals of other PDFs. We generalize MIS to combine samples from such marginal PDFs. The key idea is to consider each marginalization domain as a continuous space of sampling techniques with readily evaluable (conditional) PDFs. We stochastically select techniques from these spaces and combine the samples drawn from them into an unbiased estimator. Prior work has dealt with the special cases of multiple classical techniques or a single marginal one. Our formulation can handle mixtures of those.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.009
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.025
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.009
Threshold uncertainty score0.046

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0090.025
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0020.003
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0010.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.037
GPT teacher head0.276
Teacher spread0.239 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations10
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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