Abstract A010: Molecular characteristics and prognosis of early-onset colorectal cancer according to detailed anatomical locations: Comparison to later-onset cases
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background: Evidence suggests that, compared to later-onset colorectal cancer (CRC), early-onset CRC (diagnosed before 50 years of age) occur more frequently in rectal location and less frequently in proximal colon location. Studies also indicate heterogeneity of molecular characteristics within early-onset CRCs and between early-onset and later-onset CRCs. Understanding how tumor molecular features and biological aggressiveness of early-onset CRC differ by detailed tumor location is important in personalized patient management. Methods: Using 14,004 CRC cases including 3,089 early-onset cases from The Cancer Genome Atlas and the Genetics and Epidemiology of CRC Consortium (GECCO), we examined microsatellite instability (MSI), CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP), and KRAS and BRAF mutations in cancers of the cecum, ascending colon, transverse colon, descending colon, sigmoid colon, and rectum. We further conducted CRC-specific survival analyses of detailed tumor location stratified by molecular characteristics using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Results: The proportions of MSI-high, CIMP-high, and BRAF-mutated early-onset tumors gradually increased from the rectum (8.8%, 3.4%, and 3.5%, respectively) to the ascending colon (46% MSI-high; 15% CIMP-high) or transverse colon (8.6% BRAF-mutated), followed by declines in the cecum for MSI-high (36%) and BRAF-mutated (4.6%) tumors. Notably, later-onset MSI-high tumors showed a continuous decrease in KRAS mutation prevalence from the rectum (36%) to ascending colon (9%; Ptrend <0.001) followed by an increase in the cecum (14%), while early-onset MSI-high cancer showed no such trend. In survival analyses, there was a trend for better CRC-specific survival from the cecum to sigmoid colon (Ptrend<0.001) (but not to rectum), which did not significantly differ by age of diagnosis (Pinteraction=0.61). Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for sigmoid vs. cecum were 0.86 (95% CI, 0.64-1.14) for early-onset cases and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.70-0.93) for later-onset cases. Notably, the prognostic association of tumor location differed by MSI status (Pinteraction=0.001). Non-MSI-high tumors exhibited the cecum-to-sigmoid trend for better CRC-specific survival [Ptrend <0.001; multivariable-adjusted HR for the sigmoid colon (vs. cecum), 0.80; 95% CI, 0.70-0.92], whereas MSI-high tumors demonstrated an opposite cecum-to-sigmoid trend for worse survival (Ptrend = 0.020; the corresponding HR, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.15-3.92). Conclusions: Our findings support biogeographical and pathogenic heterogeneity of CRC in different age groups and colorectal subsites. Both detailed colorectal location and tumor molecular features need to be accounted for prognostication of early-onset and later-onset CRCs to advance precision medicine. Citation Format: Tomotaka Ugai, Yin Cao, Koichiro Haruki, Tabitha A. Harrison, Daniel D. Buchanan, Peter T. Campbell, Andrew T. Chan, Steven Gallinger, Marc J. Gunter, Michael Hoffmeister, Mark A. Jenkins, Roger L. Milne, Polly A. Newcomb, Rish K. Pai, Andrew J. Pellatt, Robert E. Schoen, Bethany Van Guelpen, Michael O. Woods, Amanda I. Phipps, Ulrike Peters, Shuji Ogino. Molecular characteristics and prognosis of early-onset colorectal cancer according to detailed anatomical locations: Comparison to later-onset cases [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference on Colorectal Cancer; 2022 Oct 1-4; Portland, OR. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(23 Suppl_1):Abstract nr A010.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".