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Record W4311175942 · doi:10.1080/00029890.2022.2144088

Random Walks, Directed Cycles, and Markov Chains

2022· article· en· W4311175942 on OpenAlexafffund
Kate Gingell, Franklin Mendivil

Bibliographic record

VenueAmerican Mathematical Monthly · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicMarkov Chains and Monte Carlo Methods
Canadian institutionsAcadia University
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsMarkov chainRandom walkExamples of Markov chainsMathematicsVariable-order Markov modelDiscrete phase-type distributionMarkov renewal processMarkov processMarkov propertyMarkov chain mixing timeMarkov kernelAbsorbing Markov chainDiscrete mathematicsMarkov modelLimitingStatistical physicsStatisticsPhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

A Markov chain is a random process which iteratively travels around in its state space with each transition only depending on the current position and not on the past. When the state space is discrete, we can think of a Markov chain as a special type of random walk on a directed graph. Although a Markov chain normally never settles down but keeps moving around, it does usually have a well-defined limiting behavior in a statistical sense.A given finite directed graph can potentially support many different random walks or Markov chains and each one could have one or more invariant (stationary) distributions. In this paper we explore the question of characterizing the set of all possible invariant distributions. The answer turns out to be quite simple and very natural and involves the cycles on the graph.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.009
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.005
Threshold uncertainty score0.015

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.009
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.004
Scholarly communication0.0020.004
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.025
GPT teacher head0.306
Teacher spread0.281 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2022
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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