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Record W4311435442 · doi:10.36227/techrxiv.21692852

Prediction of the Stock Market Based on Machine Learning and Sentiment Analysis

2022· preprint· en· W4311435442 on OpenAlexafffund
Prajwal Jishtu, Harshil Prajapati, Jinan Fiaidhi

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsLakehead University
FundersLakehead University
KeywordsStock marketSentiment analysisFeature engineeringStock (firearms)Stock market predictionComputer scienceStock priceArtificial intelligenceFinancial economicsOrder (exchange)EconometricsDeep learningEconomicsMachine learningFinanceEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Nothing is rock-steady in the stock market, which isa very volatile market. Nevertheless, there are a variety of ways and approaches one may utilise to learn about this dynamic movement and be prepared for it as technology develops. The focus of this essay is on different methods for quickly identifying market trends. The suggested strategy is comprehensive because it includes pre-processing the stock market dataset, a range of feature engineering techniques, and the integration of a customised deep learning-based system for forecasting stock market price patterns. The best and most suggested method for prediction is the model with the least amount of error. In order to conduct this study, we used three distinct models and ran sentiment analysis on news articles mentioning the firm or the stock. The results of this classification have given investors additional information to help them make decisions about where to stake their money as well as clear and incisive insight into the market’s irregular ups and downs.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.005
Threshold uncertainty score0.009

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.106
GPT teacher head0.385
Teacher spread0.279 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2022
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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