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Record W4311435442 · doi:10.36227/techrxiv.21692852

Prediction of the Stock Market Based on Machine Learning and Sentiment Analysis

2022· preprint· en· W4311435442 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsLakehead University
FundersLakehead University
KeywordsStock marketSentiment analysisFeature engineeringStock (firearms)Stock market predictionComputer scienceStock priceArtificial intelligenceFinancial economicsOrder (exchange)EconometricsDeep learningEconomicsMachine learningFinanceEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

<p>Nothing is rock-steady in the stock market, which isa very volatile market. Nevertheless, there are a variety of ways and approaches one may utilise to learn about this dynamic movement and be prepared for it as technology develops. The focus of this essay is on different methods for quickly identifying market trends. The suggested strategy is comprehensive because it includes pre-processing the stock market dataset, a range of feature engineering techniques, and the integration of a customised deep learning-based system for forecasting stock market price patterns. The best and most suggested method for prediction is the model with the least amount of error. In order to conduct this study, we used three distinct models and ran sentiment analysis on news articles mentioning the firm or the stock. The results of this classification have given investors additional information to help them make decisions about where to stake their money as well as clear and incisive insight into the market’s irregular ups and downs.</p>

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.015
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.008
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.548
Threshold uncertainty score0.983

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0150.008
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0180.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.106
GPT teacher head0.385
Teacher spread0.279 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2022
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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