PP58 SARS-CoV-2: A Rapid Review Of The Transmission Risk From Vaccinated Populations
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Introduction Since the vaccine roll out, research has focused on vaccine safety and efficacy, with large clinical trials confirming that vaccines are generally effective against symptomatic COVID-19 infection. However, breakthrough infections can still occur, and the effectiveness of vaccines against transmission from infected vaccinated people to susceptible contacts is unclear. Health Technology Wales (HTW) collaborated with the Wales COVID-19 Evidence Centre to identify and examine evidence on the transmission risk of SARS-CoV-2 from vaccinated people to unvaccinated or vaccinated people. Methods We conducted a systematic literature search for evidence on vaccinated people exposed to SARS-CoV-2 in any setting. Outcome measures included transmission rate, cycle threshold (Ct) values and viral load. We identified a rapid review by the University of Calgary that was the main source of our outcome data. Nine studies published following the rapid review were also identified and included. Results In total, 35 studies were included in this review: one randomized controlled trial (RCT), one post-hoc analysis of an RCT, 13 prospective cohort studies, 16 retrospective cohort studies and four case control studies. All studies reported a reduction in transmission of the B.1.1.7 (Alpha) variant from partial and fully vaccinated individuals. More recent evidence is uncertain on the effects of vaccination on transmission of the B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant. Overall, vaccine effectiveness in reducing transmission appears to increase with full vaccination, compared with partial vaccination. Most of the direct evidence is limited to transmission in household settings therefore, there is a gap in the evidence on risk of transmission in other settings. One UK study found protection against onward transmission waned within 3 months post second vaccination. Conclusions Early findings that focused on the alpha variant, showed a reduction in transmission from vaccinated people. There is limited evidence on the effectiveness of vaccination on transmission of the Delta variant, therefore alternative preventative measures to reduce transmission may still be required.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.011 | 0.053 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.008 | 0.007 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.022 | 0.017 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.006 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".