Deep learning using multilayer perception improves the diagnostic acumen of spirometry: a single-centre Canadian study
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
RATIONALE: Spirometry and plethysmography are the gold standard pulmonary function tests (PFT) for diagnosis and management of lung disease. Due to the inaccessibility of plethysmography, spirometry is often used alone but this leads to missed or misdiagnoses as spirometry cannot identify restrictive disease without plethysmography. We aimed to develop a deep learning model to improve interpretation of spirometry alone. METHODS: ), plethysmography (total lung capacity, residual volume) and biometrics (sex, age, height). The model was developed with 2582 PFTs from 477 patients, randomly divided into training (80%), validation (10%) and test (10%) sets, and refined using 1245 previously unseen PFTs from 271 patients, split 50/50 as validation (136 patients) and test (135 patients) sets. Only one test per patient was used for each of 10 experiments conducted for each input combination. The final model was compared with interpretation of 82 spirometry tests by 6 trained pulmonologists and a decision tree. RESULTS: Accuracies from the first 477 patients were similar when inputs included biometrics+spirometry+plethysmography (95%±3%) vs biometrics+spirometry (90%±2%). Model refinement with the next 271 patients improved accuracies with biometrics+pirometry (95%±2%) but no change for biometrics+spirometry+plethysmography (95%±2%). The final model significantly outperformed (94.67%±2.63%, p<0.01 for both) interpretation of 82 spirometry tests by the decision tree (75.61%±0.00%) and pulmonologists (66.67%±14.63%). CONCLUSIONS: Deep learning improves the diagnostic acumen of spirometry and classifies lung physiology better than pulmonologists with accuracies comparable to full PFTs.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.008 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it