THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATE UNCERTAINTY ON DOMESTIC INVESTMENT IN ETHIOPIA
Bibliographic record
Abstract
There is no yet clear theoretical and empirical consensus on the relationship between exchange rate uncertainty and domestic investment. The main purpose of this study, therefore, is to examine the effect of real effective exchange rate uncertainty on domestic investment for the Ethiopian economy over the sample period 1992Q1- 2016Q1. To address this objective, Jordà’s (2005) local projection method is employed and generalized impulse response functions are generated in this study. The impulse response functions exhibit that one standard deviation shock in exchange rate uncertainty stimulates domestic investment for the Ethiopian economy. In response to one standard deviation shock in exchange rate uncertainty, domestic investment increases to around 4 percent at the second quarter. This may indicate the existence of risk neutral or insensitive domestic investors to exchange rate uncertainty in Ethiopia. As to the effects of other control variables, domestic investment also increases in response to real income and real effective exchange rate shocks. The effect of inflation shock on domestic investment is positive and statistically significant up to the eighth quarter, and negative and significant afterwards.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".