A population-based study of the direct longitudinal health care costs of upper extremity trauma in patients aged 18–65 years
Bibliographic record
Abstract
<h3>Background:</h3> Upper extremity (UE) trauma represents a common reason for emergency department visits, but the longitudinal economic burden of this public health issue is unknown. This study assessed the 3-year attributable health care use and expenditure after UE trauma requiring acute surgical intervention, with specific focus on injuries that affect function of the hand and wrist. <h3>Methods:</h3> We conducted an incidence-based, propensity score–matched cohort study (2006–2014) in Ontario, Canada, using linked administrative health care data to identify case patients and matched control patients. We matched adults with hand, wrist and UE nerve trauma requiring surgery 1:4 to control patients. We compared total direct health care costs, including 1-year pre-index costs, between case and control patients using a differences-in-difference methodology. The primary outcome was attributable health care costs within 3 years of injury. <h3>Results:</h3> We matched patients with trauma (<i>n</i> = 26 123) to noninjured patients (<i>n</i> = 104 353). Mean direct health care costs attributable to UE trauma were $9210 (95% confidence interval [CI] 8880 to 9550) within 3 years. Patients with trauma had significantly more emergency department visits (≥ 3 visits: 25% v. 12%; <i>p</i> < 0.001), mental health visits (34% v. 28%; <i>p</i> < 0.05) and secondary surgeries (25% v. 5%; <i>p</i> < 0.001). Specific patient populations had significantly greater attributable costs: patients requiring post-traumatic mental health visits ($11 360 v. $7090; <i>p</i> < 0.001), inpatient surgery ($14 060 v. $5940, <i>p</i> < 0.001) and complex injuries ($13 790 v. $7930; <i>p</i> < 0.001). <h3>Interpretation:</h3> Health care expenditure increased more than fivefold in the year after UE trauma surgery and remained greater than the matched cohort for the subsequent 2 years. Those with more serious injuries and post-injury visits for mental health were associated with higher costs, requiring further study for this public health issue. The mean 1-year pre-injury and 1-year post-injury total costs were $1710 and $9350, respectively.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".