Illegal Maneuver Effect on Traffic Operations at Signalized Intersections: An Observational Simulation-Based Before-After Study Using Response Surface Methodology
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This study investigates three illegal maneuvers at signalized intersections: pedestrians jaywalking at signalized crosswalks (JSC), vehicles stopping near the intersections (SNI), and vehicles occupying the through lane instead of the left-turn lane to make a left turn (OTL). Traffic microsimulation models of four intersections were developed using Aimsun, and data were collected by a drone over a 3-hour period. The car-following model (Gibbs model) implemented in Aimsun was calibrated for each of the intersections and validated at the 95% confidence level. The validated Aimsun models were used to perform 13 experiments designed to investigate the interaction effects of decreasing two or more illegal maneuvers on travel time and fuel consumption. These 13 experiments were identified using the design of experiments D-optimality criterion. To investigate the main and interaction effects of decreasing two or more illegal maneuvers on travel time and fuel consumption, the response surface methodology (RSM) was used. Using RSM, the statistical model that was found to best fit the simulation results was a quadratic form. The results showed that the dependent variables “travel time ratio” and “fuel consumption ratio” are affected not only by a decrease in violations ratio but also by the volume of traffic as the exogenous variable. It was found that decreasing two of the violations, namely, JSC and SNI, improves travel time and fuel consumption but decreasing OTL has the opposite effect, resulting from the inadequate design of left-turning lane length/capacity and/or inadequate signal timing to accommodate left-turning volume.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".