Deep Learning-Based Ship Speed Prediction for Intelligent Maritime Traffic Management
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Improving maritime operations planning and scheduling can play an important role in enhancing the sector’s performance and competitiveness. In this context, accurate ship speed estimation is crucial to ensure efficient maritime traffic management. This study addresses the problem of ship speed prediction from a Maritime Vessel Services perspective in an area of the Saint Lawrence Seaway. The challenge is to build a real-time predictive model that accommodates different routes and vessel types. This study proposes a data-driven solution based on deep learning sequence methods and historical ship trip data to predict ship speeds at different steps of a voyage. It compares three different sequence models and shows that they outperform the baseline ship speed rates used by the VTS. The findings suggest that deep learning models combined with maritime data can leverage the challenge of estimating ship speed. The proposed solution could provide accurate and real-time estimations of ship speed to improve shipping operational efficiency, navigation safety and security, and ship emissions estimation and monitoring.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it