Using Machine Learning to Explore Shared Genetic Pathways and Possible Endophenotypes in Autism Spectrum Disorder
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a heterogeneous condition, characterized by complex genetic architectures and intertwined genetic/environmental interactions. Novel analysis approaches to disentangle its pathophysiology by computing large amounts of data are needed. We present an advanced machine learning technique, based on a clustering analysis on genotypical/phenotypical embedding spaces, to identify biological processes that might act as pathophysiological substrates for ASD. This technique was applied to the VariCarta database, which contained 187,794 variant events retrieved from 15,189 individuals with ASD. Nine clusters of ASD-related genes were identified. The 3 largest clusters included 68.6% of all individuals, consisting of 1455 (38.0%), 841 (21.9%), and 336 (8.7%) persons, respectively. Enrichment analysis was applied to isolate clinically relevant ASD-associated biological processes. Two of the identified clusters were characterized by individuals with an increased presence of variants linked to biological processes and cellular components, such as axon growth and guidance, synaptic membrane components, or transmission. The study also suggested other clusters with possible genotype-phenotype associations. Innovative methodologies, including machine learning, can improve our understanding of the underlying biological processes and gene variant networks that undergo the etiology and pathogenic mechanisms of ASD. Future work to ascertain the reproducibility of the presented methodology is warranted.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".