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Analysis of Airfare during Pandemic: A Multi-Agent Based Modeling Approach

2022· article· en· W4318147664 on OpenAlex
Abdul Mutakabbir, Chung–Horng Lung, Samuel A. Ajila

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

Venue2022 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data) · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicAviation Industry Analysis and Trends
Canadian institutionsCarleton University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPandemicCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Air travelComputer science2019-20 coronavirus outbreakSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)AviationBusinessRisk analysis (engineering)Operations researchEngineeringAerospace engineeringInfectious disease (medical specialty)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The impact of the pandemic on the airline industry has been severe. Various factors such as lockdowns, travel bans, travel restrictions and passenger footfall led to changes in the airfare. This is not limited to a few years of the pandemic as there is a possibility of a similar situation recurring in the future. To address this situation and to assess future possibilities, this paper is an attempt to apply multi-agent simulation and modeling on airfare in pandemic conditions. The objective of this paper is to develop a multi-agent model for airfare during the pandemic. We also ran simulation on the developed model based on the pandemic information available from news articles. The proposed multi-agent model has long-term utility and can be used by the airline industry, the travelers, the governments, academia, and research organizations.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.706
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0030.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.581
GPT teacher head0.350
Teacher spread0.231 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it