32 Myocardial fibrosis predicts ventricular arrhythmias and sudden death after cardiac electronic device implantation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Introduction Increasing evidence supports a link between myocardial fibrosis (MF) and ventricular arrhythmias. We sought to determine whether presence of MF on visual assessment (MFVA) and gray zone fibrosis (GZF) mass predicts SCD and ventricular fibrillation/sustained ventricular tachycardia after cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) implantation. Materials and Methods In this prospective study, total fibrosis and GZF mass, quantified using cardiovascular magnetic resonance, was assessed in relation to the primary endpoint of sudden cardiac death (SCD) and the secondary, arrhythmic endpoint of SCD or ventricular arrhythmias after CIED implantation. Results Among 700 patients (age 68.0 ± 12.0yrs [mean ± SD]), 27 (3.85%) experienced a SCD and 121 (17.3%) met the arrhythmic endpoint over 6.93 yrs (median; interquartile range 5.82–9.32). MFVA predicted SCD (hazard ratio [HR]: HR: 26.3 [95% confidence interval [CI] 3.70–3337]; negative predictive value: 100%). In competing risks analyses, MFVA also predicted the arrhythmic endpoint (subdistribution [sHR]: 19.9 [95% CI 6.40–61.9]; negative predictive value: 98.6%). Compared with no MFVA,a GZF mass measured with the 5SD method (GZF5SD) > 17 g was associated with highest risk of SCD (HR: 44.6;95% CI 6.12–5685) and the arrhythmic endpoint (sHR: 30.3 [95% CI 9.60–95.8]). Adding GZF5SD mass to MFVA led to reclassification of 39% for SCD and 50.2% for the arrhythmic endpoint. In contrast, LVEF did not predict either endpoint. Discussion This the largest CMR study of MF in relation to long-term clinical outcomes in patients undergoing CIED implantation. Several findings have emerged. First, all patients experiencing SCD had MFVA on preimplantation CMR. Second, absence of MFVA virtually excluded the composite, arrhythmic endpoint. Third, both TFFWHM mass and GZF5SD mass had an additional predictive value over and above MFVA, with respect to both SCD and the arrhythmic endpoint. Last, LVEF did not predict SCD or the arrhythmic endpoint. Conclusion In CIED recipients, MFVA excluded patients at risk of SCD and virtually excluded ventricular arrhythmias. Quantified GZF5SD mass added predictive value in relation to SCD and the arrhythmic endpoint. Acknowledgements We are grateful to Medtronic, Abbott and Boston Scientific for their support in funding this study, in the form of unrestricted educational grants.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".