The SEV-SV Model—Applications in Portfolio Optimization
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper introduces and studies a new family of diffusion models for stock prices with applications in portfolio optimization. The diffusion model combines (stochastic) elasticity of volatility (EV) and stochastic volatility (SV) to create the SEV-SV model. In particular, we focus on the SEV component, which is driven by an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process via two separate functional choices, while the SV component features the state-of-the-art 4/2 model. We study an investment problem within expected utility theory (EUT) for incomplete markets, producing closed-form representations for the optimal strategy, value function, and optimal wealth process for two different cases of prices of risk on the stock. We find that when EV reverts to a GBM model, the volatility and speed of reversion of the EV have a strong impact on optimal allocations, and more aggressive (bull markets) or cautious (bear markets) strategies are hence recommended. For a model when EV reverts away from GBM, only the mean reverting level of the EV plays a role. Moreover, the presence of SV leads mainly to more conservative investment decisions for short horizons. Overall, the SEV plays a more significant role than SV in the optimal allocation.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it