Beta-Liouville and Inverted Beta-Liouville Based Predictive Models for Occupancy Detection using Small Training Data
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this paper, we propose two predictive models based on Beta-Liouville (BL) and inverted Beta-Liouville (IBL) mixture models. The choice of the BL and IBL mixture models is motivated by their flexibility. The proposed predictive models are dedicated to classification tasks where the training datasets are non-Gaussian and small which is generally the case in real-life scenarios. A principled variational approach is proposed to learn the proposed models. Extensive experimental results based on both synthetic data and a real application that concerns occupancy detection in smart buildings prove that our predictive framework achieves promising results especially with extremely small training data sets.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it