Variations and possible causes of the December PM2.5 in Eastern China during 2000–2020
Bibliographic record
Abstract
High air pollutions of PM 2.5 concentrations have become a serious environmental problem in China during recent decades, causing significant influences on urban air quality and human health. In the study, we investigate the variations of the December PM 2.5 in Eastern China and the possible causes during 2000–2020. The empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis is employed to reveal the dominant patterns of PM 2.5 variability in Eastern China. The EOF1 shows a consistent variability in the whole of the Eastern China, which reflects a consistent emission pattern in Eastern China in past two decades. The EOF2 exhibits a North-South dipole pattern, which is closely tied to the changes of atmospheric circulations. The increase of PM 2.5 in the North Eastern China is mainly related to the decrease of wind speed, the decrease of boundary layer height and the increase of inversion temperature, while the decrease of PM 2.5 in the South Eastern China is affected by the increase of local precipitation. Two atmospheric wave trains are identified that affect the dipole distribution of PM 2.5 in Eastern China. The southern one is affected by ENSO, and the northern one is jointly affected by ENSO, sea surface temperature of Labrador Sea and sea ice concentration near Kara Sea. Finally, we reconstructed a comprehensive atmospheric external forcing index based on these factors. We find that the comprehensive index can well reproduce the North-South dipole distribution of PM 2.5 in Eastern China, indicating the plausible effects of the atmospheric external forcings and the prediction potential for the variations of PM 2.5 in Eastern China.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".