Imbalanced Multi-layer Cloud Classification with Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) and CloudSat/CALIPSO Data
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Clouds at different altitudes play different roles in Earth’s climate. Comprehensive understanding of overlapping clouds is important for climate and weather prediction. The East Pacific region is where El Niño and La Niña originate and where multi-layer clouds frequently occur. The overlap of clouds at different altitudes in this region increases the classification complexity for cloud-based climatological studies. Unlike prior work in cloud layer classification that assumes single layer or two-layer of clouds, in this work, we consider multi-layer cloud classification with 8 cloud-level classes (clear-sky, high, middle, low, high+middle, high+low, middle+low, high+middle+low). We develop and analyze machine learning models on features extracted from satellite images from the East Pacific regions collected by GOES Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI). These are used to classify CloudSat/CALIPSO observed multi-layer clouds. Due to the imbalanced nature of the data, we investigate the adoption of conventional resampling methods, as well as deep learning methods with data augmentation. In our experiments, we utilize the random forest classifier and Multilayer perceptron classifier with data augmentation methods to reduce the class imbalance during training. With these approaches, we achieve a classification accuracy of 83.6% without exploiting any ancillary information.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".