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Record W4320080317 · doi:10.1353/hpu.2010.0937

Twenty-First Century Plague: The Story of SARS

2010· article· en· W4320080317 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Debra Rose Wilson, William A. Wilson

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Health Care for the Poor and Underserved · 2010
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicZoonotic diseases and public health
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPlague (disease)SmallpoxOutbreakPandemicMainland ChinaCholeraChinaMedicineHistoryVirologyDemographyCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Ancient historyVaccinationSociologyInfectious disease (medical specialty)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Reviewed by: Twenty-First Century Plague: The Story of SARS Debra Rose Wilson, PhD, RN (bio) and William A. Wilson, BIS (bio) Twenty-First Century Plague: The Story of SARS, by Thomas Abraham. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2007. 165 pp. Twenty-First Century Plague chronicles the 2002-2003 global outbreak of the SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) virus. It is tempting for many to overestimate the efficacy of modern medicine and technology in dealing with viral or bacteriological threats, especially in light of the successful eradication of diseases such as smallpox. The recent emergence of SARS and other viruses dispels this assumption. The study of emerging viruses is particularly significant in light of trade globalization and international travel. The author, Thomas Abraham, makes this point by comparing the five years it took for cholera to spread from India to North America in the age of steam travel, to the single day it would take for the same to happen in the modern era. The story of the SARS outbreak begins in the Guangdong province of mainland China, the site of the first reported case of the virus. The SARS virus spread rapidly, affected the young and healthy, and was not effectively contained by ordinary preventive measures. In one hospital, almost 100 hospital staff, patients, and relatives of patients were infected within two weeks. Fear, stress, and exhaustion of medical staff added further strain to the health care system. Although the Chinese government was tight-lipped and denied any serious problem, word-of-mouth communication led to local alarm and panic-buying of vinegar, herbal remedies, and antibiotics. The secrecy of government officials was a key component in the spreading of the disease. An apartment building in Hong Kong was the second major site of disease spread, resulting in over 200 cases in one week. A visiting professor who was hospitalized spread the infection to an entire respiratory medicine team. Once again, a key aggravating factor in the spread of the virus was the secrecy and misinformation from the mainland province. Medical resources were stressed, as approximately 25% of cases required intensive care. It should be noted that the epidemic died down when patients were hospitalized more quickly—an important point considering that in any future outbreaks the uninsured will likely delay seeking treatment until acutely ill. Vietnam, Singapore, and Toronto were other sites affected by outbreaks, thanks to the efficient transmission vector of international jet travel. The World Health Organization (WHO) had become involved by this point, and realized the importance of transparency and information dissemination to containing the disease. The WHO risked public panic and political backlash, bypassing the normal consultations with member governments to issue warnings about the outbreak directly. This was a wise strategy in [End Page 1410] light of the bureaucratic barriers already experienced in China. Collaboration between various administrations and laboratories was crucial to investigating, responding, and containing the outbreak on a global level. Had these organizations acted independently and competitively, knowledge of the threat and measures for fighting it would have taken much longer to establish. Even with such collaboration, there was the usual race to publish findings and grab the glory. The author of the book being reviewed concludes with a warning characterizing the SARS outbreak as a dress rehearsal for a major viral pandemic. The SARS virus infected about 8,000 people in the in the 2002-2003 outbreak, but another virus like the one that caused the 1918 influenza pandemic would infect millions. The author characterized the key lessons learned from the SARS outbreak as early transparent information sharing, global political cooperation, scientific collaboration, and government awareness of the need to work together to fight the threat. Abraham's writing style is characteristic of the science journalism genre, combining narrative with explanatory and historical material. The author does a good job in balancing the material to make a difficult subject engaging, without resorting to melodrama. The appendices are useful, especially the timeline, which provides a concise summary of important epidemiological events. The book is intended for a broad audience, and is neither overly technical nor oversimplified. The issues it covers are particularly relevant to the fields of public health...

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.597
Threshold uncertainty score0.361

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.033
GPT teacher head0.320
Teacher spread0.287 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2010
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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