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Record W4320738351 · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2301.13408

Identifiability and inference for copula-based semiparametric models for random vectors with arbitrary marginal distributions

2023· preprint· en· W4320738351 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Bouchra Nasri, Bruno Rémillard

Bibliographic record

VenuearXiv (Cornell University) · 2023
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods and Inference
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaUniversité de Montréal
KeywordsIdentifiabilityCopula (linguistics)MathematicsEstimatorApplied mathematicsMarginal distributionInferenceStatisticsRandom variableComputer scienceEconometrics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In this paper, we study the identifiability and the estimation of the parameters of a copula-based multivariate model when the margins are unknown and are arbitrary, meaning that they can be continuous, discrete, or mixtures of continuous and discrete. When at least one margin is not continuous, the range of values determining the copula is not the entire unit square and this situation could lead to identifiability issues that are discussed here. Next, we propose estimation methods when the margins are unknown and arbitrary, using pseudo log-likelihood adapted to the case of discontinuities. In view of applications to large data sets, we also propose a pairwise composite pseudo log-likelihood. These methodologies can also be easily modified to cover the case of parametric margins. One of the main theoretical result is an extension to arbitrary distributions of known convergence results of rank-based statistics when the margins are continuous. As a by-product, under smoothness assumptions, we obtain that the asymptotic distribution of the estimation errors of our estimators are Gaussian. Finally, numerical experiments are presented to assess the finite sample performance of the estimators, and the usefulness of the proposed methodologies is illustrated with a copula-based regression model for hydrological data. The proposed estimation is implemented in the R package CopulaInference, together with a function for checking identifiability.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.019
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.104
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.019
Threshold uncertainty score0.098

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0190.104
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.002
Bibliometrics0.0020.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.004
Scholarly communication0.0020.005
Open science0.0030.004
Research integrity0.0020.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.271
GPT teacher head0.302
Teacher spread0.032 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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