Explainable prediction of Qcodes for NOTAMs using column generation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
A NOtice To AirMen (NOTAM) contains important flight route related information. To search and filter them, NOTAMs are grouped into categories called QCodes. In this paper, we develop a tool to predict, with some explanations, a Qcode for a NOTAM. We present a way to extend the interpretable binary classification using column generation proposed in Dash, Gunluk, and Wei (Citation2018) to a multiclass text classification method. We describe the techniques used to tackle the issues related to one-vs-rest classification, such as multiple outputs and class imbalances. Furthermore, we introduce some heuristics, including the use of a CP-SAT solver for the subproblems, to reduce the training time. Finally, we show that our approach compares favorably with state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms like Linear SVM and small neural networks while adding the needed interpretability component.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".