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Record W4321489975 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4028

The spatial-temporal variations of rainfall-streamflow linkage across North America: A functional data analysis approach

2023· preprint· en· W4321489975 on OpenAlexaff
Ali Ameli, Joseph Janssen, Shizhe Meng, Jiguo Cao, William J. Welch

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicHydrology and Watershed Management Studies
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsStreamflowHydrographEnvironmental scienceClimate changeFlood forecastingClimatologyHydrology (agriculture)Drainage basinGeologyGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Achieving improved predictions in ungauged-basins or inferring the effects of climate and land-use changes on streamflow requires hydrologists to first learn the underlying mechanisms behind streamflow generation in gauged-basins. One way to characterize streamflow generation is by quantifying how catchments filter rainfall into streamflow. A simple and popular technique that displays the rainfall-streamflow linkage is the unit hydrograph. Though one could characterize and classify catchments based on their unit hydrographs, this approach implicitly implies that the function and response-time that link rainfall to streamflow are time-invariant. The celerity, and the function that links rainfall to streamflow in a given catchment, could vary from catchment to catchment as well as from season to season. This is primarily due to variations in antecedent wetness, temperature, vegetation transpiration and the ways climatic factors interact with biophysical factors, over time and over space. In this study, we utilize sparse historical functional linear models to quantify the time-variant rainfall-streamflow response function, across hundreds of catchments in North America. The function reflects the temporally varying relationship between rainfall and streamflow and can be used to infer temporally varying response times. We then attempt to relate catchment characteristics such geology, climate, and topography to the characteristics of rainfall-streamflow response function and response time, spatially and temporally. We argue that our study extracts generalizable and robust process understanding in a novel data-driven manner.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.053
Threshold uncertainty score0.106

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.054
GPT teacher head0.275
Teacher spread0.220 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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