Bibliographic record
Abstract
Interval estimation of a binomial proportion has had a consistent presence in the statistical literature through the years. Many interval procedures have been developed for a single proportion as well as for the difference of two proportions. However, little work has been conducted on the joint estimation of two binomial proportions. In this paper, we construct four confidence regions for two binomial proportions based on three statistics: the Wald (W), adjusted Wald (W*), score (S), and likelihood ratio (LR) statistics. Once the regions have been established, we compare their coverage probabilities and average areas for different parameter and sample size configurations. For small-to-moderate sample sizes, this paper finds that the three regions based on the W*, S, and LR statistics have good coverage properties, with the score region usually having the smallest average area. Finally, we apply these four confidence regions to some real data in veterinary science and medicine for the joint estimation of important proportions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.041 | 0.247 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.006 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.007 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".