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Record W4322001854 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11884

Migration ecology in insects: integrative approaches to trace long-distance movements of the Painted Lady butterfly (Vanessa cardui)

2023· preprint· en· W4322001854 on OpenAlexaff
Gerard Talavera, Luise Gorki, Eric Toro‐Delgado, Roger López-Mañas, Megan S. Reich, Mattia Menchetti, Cristina Domingo‐Marimon, Llorenç Sáez, Naomi E. Pierce, Roger Vila, Clément P. Bataille, Tomasz Suchan

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicSpecies Distribution and Climate Change
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Ottawa
Fundersnot available
KeywordsButterflyEcologyGeographyBiological dispersalBiologyEnvironmental niche modellingBiogeographyEcological nicheHabitatPopulation

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Migratory insects may move in very large numbers, even surpassing migratory vertebrates in biomass. However, the extent of aerial flows of insects circulating around the planet, as well as their impact on ecosystems and biogeography, remain almost unstudied because of methodological challenges associated with tracking small, short-lived, organisms. In this presentation, I will show how a novel integrative approach allows reconstructing long-range insect movements, through a combination of tools on genetics, isotope ecology, ecological niche modelling, pollen metabarcoding, field ecology, and citizen science.I will show the latest discoveries on the migrations of the Painted Lady butterfly (Vanessa cardui). This butterfly species is the most cosmopolitan of all butterflies, and it is known by its regular trans-Saharan migrations, that entail distances of >4000 km, similar to those of some birds. First, we track a migratory outbreak of V. cardui butterflies taking place at a continental scale in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa from March 2019 to November 2019. We use DNA metabarcoding to identify plants from pollen transported by the insects. From 265 butterflies collected in 14 countries over 7 months, we molecularly identify 398 plants. We develop a novel geolocation approach based on combining probability rasters from species distribution modelling of each identified plant, and thus trace back the location of the outbreak’s origin and the origin of each of the subsequent generations. We show a strong representation of plants of Middle Eastern distribution in butterfly swarms collected in Eastern Europe in early spring. Swarms collected in Northern Europe in late spring were highly represented by plants of Mediterranean origin, and swarms collected in the summer in the Mediterranean likely originated in central and Northern Europe.Second, we report the first proven transatlantic crossing by individual insects, a journey of at least 4,200 km from West Africa to South America. This discovery was possible through gathering evidence from multiple sources, including coastal field surveys, wind trajectory modelling, phylogeography, pollen metabarcoding, and multi-isotope geolocation of natal origins. Wind trajectories were exceptionally favourable for the butterflies to disperse across the Atlantic from West Africa. Population genetic analyses clustered the butterflies collected in South America with the European-African population, ruling out the possibility that the migrants originated in America. Pollen metabarcoding showed highly represented plants endemic to the Sahelian region. Finally, a dual isotope analysis of hydrogen (δ2H) and strontium (87Sr/86Sr) combined with a spatio-temporal niche model of suitable reproductive habitat geolocated the natal origins of the migrants to regions in Mali, Morocco, or Portugal, and thus not discarding a journey also involving a trans-Saharan crossing.In summary, this work contributes new methodological avenues to advance our understanding of the dispersal and migration of insects. The findings here reported suggest that we may be underestimating long-range dispersal in insects, and highlight the importance of aerial highways connecting continents by trade winds. Overall, we will discuss the scale and potential implications that insect migratory movements represent for ecosystems and nature conservation worldwide.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.008
Threshold uncertainty score0.015

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0040.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.111
GPT teacher head0.263
Teacher spread0.152 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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