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Record W4323270135 · doi:10.5539/jgg.v15n1p1

Cascadia Earthquake-Triggered Rockslide Burial of Beeswax Galleon Wreck Timbers in a Sea Cliff Wave-Cut Platform Site, North Smuggler Cove, Oregon, USA

2023· article· en· W4323270135 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Curt D. Peterson, Scott M. Williams, Craig Andes

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Geography and Geology · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicLandslides and related hazards
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationNational Science CouncilPortland State University
KeywordsCoveRockslideGeologyStorm surgeStormIntertidal zoneOceanographyHydrology (agriculture)GeomorphologyGeotechnical engineeringLandslide

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Shipwreck timbers (n=27) from the Spanish galleon Santo Cristo de Burgos, also known as the Beeswax Wreck (lost in 1693), are examined for origins of multiple, simultaneous rockslide burials that protected and preserved the timbers on an intertidal wave-cut platform in the small Smuggler Cove in the Northern Oregon coast. The rockslides (n=3–4) that buried the shipwreck timbers are compared to nearby historic rockslide analogs to better establish the mechanisms of boulder distributions on the wave-cut platform. Large boulders (n=20), generally ≥1.0 m intermediate diameter, in the North Smuggler Cove (NSC) timber burial site were measured for estimated mass (1–41 t) and alongshore distribution below small gullies that routed the boulders to the wave-cut platform from overlying short (~100 m distance) but steep hillslopes (40–60% gradient). The multiple independent rockslides in the NSC site, dated to ~300 years by the buried Beeswax Wreck timbers, showed catastrophic, simultaneous activation by a widespread trigger. Anomalous rainfall and/or storm wave attack are unlikely mechanisms for these rockslide activations due to 1) hillslope protections from extended-upslope surface water discharge and 2) sea cliff protection from direct storm wave impacts. The most likely widespread trigger for rockslide activation in the NSC site is seismic ground shaking from an earthquake in the Central Cascadia subduction zone. Modern storm wind velocities (>10 s-1 sustained velocity and 170–225° bearing) and storm surge generated rip currents (≥0.5 km offshore distance) indicate that Beeswax Wreck timbers could have been transported north (1–10 km) to Smuggler Cove, within several winter seasons after the breakup of the Santo Cristo de Burgos. The most likely seismic trigger that could have activated the multiple rockslides in the NSC site, shortly after the brief accumulation of shipwreck timbers on the narrow, intertidal wave-cut platform in Smuggler Cove, is the 1700 Cascadia great earthquake (Mw~9.0). Additional sea cliff rockslide sites (n=8) in the central Cascadia margin are suggested for further investigations of seismically activated slope failures by the 1700 Cascadia great earthquake.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.101
Threshold uncertainty score0.200

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.210
Teacher spread0.202 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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