A novel long-short term memory network approach for stress model updating for excavations in high stress environments
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Digitalisation has increased access to large amounts of data for rock engineers. Machine learning presents an opportunity to aid data interpretation. The operators of Garson Mine use a microseismic database to calibrate a mine-scale finite difference model, used to assess seismic risk to inform mine operations. A Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) network is proposed for stress model updating. The model is trained using microseismic data, geology, and geomechanical parameters from the FLAC3D model. Two LSTM networks are developed for Garson Mine: (1) predicting far field principal stresses in the FLAC3D model, and (2) predicting the far field six-component stress tensors in the model. Various LSTM network hyperparameters were analyzed to determine the architecture for the targets: input encoding and pre-processing, training solver, network layer architecture, and cost function. Architectures were chosen based on the corrected Akaike Information Criterion (AICc), coefficient of determination (R2), and percent capture (%C). When predicting principal stresses, AICc = −59.62, R2 = 0.996, and %C = 97%, and when predicting the six-component stress tensor AICc = −45.50, R2 = 0.997, and %C = 80%. This research represents progress towards continuous, automated updating of numerical models such that rapid, more accurate forecasts of changes in stress conditions will allow earlier reaction to challenging stress environments, increasing safety of excavations.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".