A183 VARIATION IN HEALTH SERVICES UTILIZATION AND RISK OF SURGERY ACROSS CHILDREN WITH INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASE: A MULTIPROVINCE COHORT STUDY
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Marked variation in access to care and health services utilization is a marker of variation in quality of care. With the rising incidence of pediatric inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), we must understand variation in access to and outcomes of care to improve quality. Purpose Describe variation in care for pediatric IBD treated in 4 Canadian provinces. Method Incident cases of IBD diagnosed in children <16y were identified from health administrative data in Alberta (AB), Manitoba, Nova Scotia, and Ontario (ON) using validated algorithms. Children were assigned to one of 8 centres of care using a hierarchical assessment of health services use within 6 months of diagnosis. Children treated by adult gastroenterologists or community-based pediatric gastroenterologists were excluded due to small sample size. Outcomes included IBD-related hospitalizations, emergency department (ED) visits (AB/ON only), and IBD-related abdominal surgery. Hospitalizations and ED visits were counted cumulatively from 6-60 months after diagnosis. The risk of first surgery was defined during the same 6-60 month period. Mixed-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results across centres. Heterogeneity among centres was quantified using I2 (variation in pooled event rates between centres) and τ (standard deviation of the true event rates). R2 quantified the residual heterogeneity in outcomes not attributable to among-province variation. Result(s) We identified 3777 incident cases of pediatric IBD, 2936 (78%) of which were treated at 8 pediatric centres. The number of hospitalizations was 0.67 (95% CI 0.56-0.79) per person with high between-centre heterogeneity (I2 84%, τ 0.1556). Provincial differences accounted for 93% of heterogeneity across centres (residual heterogeneity: I2 29%, τ 0.0412). Hospitalizations were less frequent in AB than other provinces (0.43 vs. 0.72-0.78). Children averaged 1.94 IBD-related ED visits, with significant heterogeneity (I2 99%, τ 1.33) with 99.7% of heterogeneity attributable to among-province differences (residual heterogeneity: I2 32%; τ 0.074). Mean ED visits were 1.1 visits in ON (I2 39%) and 3.7 in AB (I2 0%). Intestinal resection was required by 12% (95% CI 0.08-0.15) of Crohn’s patients with high among-centre heterogeneity (I2 81%, τ 0.042), and low (19%) heterogeneity due to provincial differences (residual heterogeneity: I2 76%; τ 0.039). Colectomy was required by 12% (95% CI 10-14) of children with ulcerative colitis (UC) with no between-centre heterogeneity (I2 0%, τ 0). Conclusion(s) There is a high degree of between-province (but not between-centre, within province) variability in health services utilization among children with IBD. There was significant between-centre variability in surgery rates for Crohn’s, but not colectomy for UC. Differences in patient characteristics or provincial health systems may be more important predictors of variation in care. Surgery for Crohn’s disease may be a target for inter-centre quality improvement efforts. Please acknowledge all funding agencies by checking the applicable boxes below CCC Disclosure of Interest None Declared
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".