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Association of Days Alive and at Home at Day 90 After Intensive Care Unit Admission With Long-term Survival and Functional Status Among Mechanically Ventilated Patients

2023· article· en· W4327575203 on OpenAlexafffundabout
Shaurya Taran, Benjamin Coiffard, Ella Huszti, Qixuan Li, Leslie M. Chu, Claire Thomas, Stacey Burns, Priscila Robles, Margaret S. Herridge, Ewan C. Goligher

Bibliographic record

VenueJAMA Network Open · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicIntensive Care Unit Cognitive Disorders
Canadian institutionsUniversity Health NetworkToronto General HospitalUniversity of Toronto
FundersCanadian Institutes of Health ResearchSociété de Pneumologie de Langue FrançaiseSociété de Réanimation de Langue FrançaiseUniversity of Toronto
KeywordsMedicineCohortIntensive care unitMechanical ventilationCohort studyPsychological interventionProspective cohort studyProportional hazards modelLogistic regressionIntensive careQuality of life (healthcare)Physical therapyEmergency medicineInternal medicineIntensive care medicine

Abstract

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Importance: Many conventional end points in randomized clinical trials of interventions for critically ill patients do not account for patient-centered concerns such as time at home, physical function, and quality of life after critical illness. Objective: To establish whether days alive and at home at day 90 (DAAH90) is associated with long-term survival and functional outcomes in mechanically ventilated patients. Design, Setting, and Participants: The RECOVER prospective cohort study was conducted from February 2007 to March 2014, using data from 10 intensive care units (ICUs) in Canada. Patients were included in the baseline cohort if they were aged 16 years or older and underwent invasive mechanical ventilation for 7 or more days. The follow-up cohort analyzed here comprised RECOVER patients who were alive and had functional outcomes ascertained at 3, 6, and 12 months. Secondary data analysis occurred from July 2021 to August 2022. Exposures: Composite of survival and days alive and at home at day 90 after ICU admission (DAAH90). Main Outcomes and Measures: Functional outcomes at 3, 6, and 12 months were evaluated with the Functional Independence Measure (FIM), the 6-Minute Walk Test (6MWT), the Medical Research Council (MRC) Scale for Muscle Strength, and the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey physical component summary (SF-36 PCS). Mortality was evaluated at 1 year from ICU admission. Ordinal logistic regression was used to describe the association between DAAH90 tertiles and outcomes. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the independent association of DAAH90 tertiles with mortality. Results: The baseline cohort comprised 463 patients. Their median age was 58 years (IQR, 47-68 years), and 278 patients (60.0%) were men. In these patients, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, ICU intervention (eg, kidney replacement therapy or tracheostomy), and ICU length of stay were independently associated with lower DAAH90. The follow-up cohort comprised 292 patients. Their median age was 57 years (IQR, 46-65 years), and 169 patients (57.9%) were men. Among patients who survived to day 90, lower DAAH90 was associated with higher mortality at 1 year after ICU admission (tertile 1 vs tertile 3: adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.18 [95% CI, 0.07-0.43]; P < .001). At 3 months of follow-up, lower DAAH90 was independently associated with lower median scores on the FIM (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 76 [IQR, 46.2-101] vs 121 [IQR, 112-124.2]; P = .04), 6MWT (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 98 [IQR, 0-239] vs 402 [IQR, 300-494]; P < .001), MRC (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 48 [IQR, 32-54] vs 58 [IQR, 51-60]; P < .001), and SF-36 PCS (tertile 1 vs tertile 3, 30 [IQR, 22-38] vs 37 [IQR, 31-47]; P = .001) measures. Among patients who survived to 12 months, being in tertile 3 vs tertile 1 for DAAH90 was associated with higher FIM score at 12 months (estimate, 22.4 [95% CI, 14.8-30.0]; P < .001), but this association was not present for ventilator-free days (estimate, 6.0 [95% CI, -2.2 to 14.1]; P = .15) or ICU-free days (estimate, 5.9 [95% CI, -2.1 to 13.8]; P = .15) at day 28. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, lower DAAH90 was associated with greater long-term mortality risk and worse functional outcomes among patients who survived to day 90. These findings suggest that the DAAH90 end point reflects long-term functional status better than standard clinical end points in ICU studies and may serve as a patient-centered end point in future clinical trials.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.009
Threshold uncertainty score0.731

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.015
GPT teacher head0.259
Teacher spread0.243 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations26
Published2023
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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